Handicapping College Football

This brief article is actually geared to capping College Football at the Mid-Way point in the season which we have just passed and a few things that I want you to look for before you jump in .Number 1 and a subject that I touched on briefly in a video earlier this week is to proceed with caution when looking at steam moves .Now knowing that probably half the moves are set ups for a take back on either Friday night or early Saturday Morning on the opposite side , here is one way to tell when a stem move is an actual position .Let's consider the fact that early in the week the public is not wagering in general anyway , but the easiest way to spot a true position is a game such as Toledo which opened Cincy -8 .What I like to call a crooked number such as 5.5  or 1.5 . This number was hit early by the Sharps hard and continuously driving the number down to it's current 5.5 where it now sits .This number unless I miss my guess is ripe for a move to +6 and then another swarm of Toledo money will come in .So basically I want you to look for moves that occur across the board at every book and which move in 1 point increments that occur early and often during the week .Now that's not to say this move is any Sharper than Kansas St but the K St move from +3 to +2.5 is significant in it's own way as books would rather not move off the +3 where no decision is required on their part.And remember public money will never move a line early in the week in any sport because it's money coming from bettors that are not respected in the gambling community.I also look to the Dog in the case of over valued faves which occur quite frequently early in the season but are far more critical at this point in the season.Why so much more critical now then lets say a Month ago.Well the reason is simple , and it's because the opponents have had that many more weeks of game play and a lot of the time have improved without getting any respect from the Books .This happens again week in and week out with the Public Favorites such as Notre Dame , USC ,LSU ,South Carolina to name a few .Another very important aspect are injuries at this time of the year especially. Lets face it every team is banged up at this point in the season and it's the teams with sufficient depth at key positions that will be able to continually compete through even the toughest of injuries , even to key players .
Ok so there you have it ..Just a few key points I want you to take a look at when you go down the list of teams you're thinking of betting this Weekend.

Best of Luck

Tony C